After the vote · interim count
Israel voted on October 27. This page reads the official ballot box file as it fills in: how much is really counted, where, what the seats add up to, and how voters treated parties as part of a bloc.
Seats if the count stopped at Nov 1, 4:32 PM, with the surplus vote agreements applied. The dashed line marks 61. The file now includes 449,358 valid double envelope votes (soldiers, diplomats, hospital staff and others).
Question 1
7,331,981 ÷ 7,331,981 = 100.0%The CEC's ballot box file has one row per box, and the column בזב is the number of eligible voters registered at that box. Adding it up across every box in the file and dividing by the national electorate gives the share of the country whose boxes are in. It is not the share of votes counted, and it can't be, because nobody knows yet how many people voted at the boxes still out.
Turnout in the counted boxes is 71.8%: מצביעים (votes cast) divided by בזב. The 5,690,686 valid votes (כשרים) are what the seats are computed from.
The double envelopes cast by soldiers, diplomats, prisoners, hospital patients and staff, and people with disabilities who voted away from their home box are in the file as one row of their own, with no eligible voters attached: 451,988 votes so far. They count toward the seats but not toward the share counted or turnout above.
On the govmap results map, every locality carries a badge like “69.5% נספרו,” which reads as “69.5% counted.” It is turnout in the boxes that have reported: votes cast divided by eligible voters, for those boxes only. A town with two boxes in can show a high number while almost all of it is still uncounted.
To estimate how much of a locality is really in, compare the eligible voters in its reported boxes with its full electorate. The 2026 electorate by locality isn't in the file, so this page takes each locality's 2022 electorate from the official 25th Knesset results and scales it by the national growth since then (7,331,981 against 6,785,290, up 8.1%). Where a locality's reported boxes already exceed that estimate, it counts as fully in. That is an estimate, and it is labeled as one wherever it appears.
24,921 ÷ 26,229. When Eilat's first two boxes came in, its badge read 35.8% with about 2% of the city counted.
Localities with at least 10,000 eligible voters, lowest estimated share counted first. 0 localities have no box in the file at all, home to about 0 eligible voters.
| Locality | Boxes in | Estimated counted | Badge shows | Locality type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azor אזור | 16 | about 93% | 73.0% | Coalition-leaning localities |
| Holon חולון | 260 | about 94% | 69.0% | Coalition-leaning localities |
| Nazareth נצרת | 94 | about 94% | 73.5% | Arab localities |
| Karmi'el כרמיאל | 72 | about 95% | 64.3% | Secular-leaning localities |
| Yehud-Monosson יהוד-מונוסון | 43 | about 95% | 78.5% | Secular-leaning localities |
| Ashdod אשדוד | 312 | about 95% | 68.5% | Coalition-leaning localities |
| Giv'atayim גבעתיים | 80 | about 95% | 74.0% | Secular-leaning localities |
| Kfar Saba כפר סבא | 138 | about 95% | 74.8% | Secular-leaning localities |
| Ma'ale Adumim מעלה אדומים | 48 | about 96% | 73.4% | Coalition-leaning localities |
| Nesher נשר | 37 | about 96% | 68.8% | Secular-leaning localities |
| Kiryat Ata קרית אתא | 82 | about 96% | 72.4% | Coalition-leaning localities |
| Tiberias טבריה | 66 | about 96% | 66.7% | Coalition-leaning localities |
Estimated eligible voters not yet in the file, by the kind of locality they live in. Localities are grouped by how they voted in 2022, the only grouping the official files support.
Coalition-leaning localities have the lowest share in: about 98%, with 0 of 419 not reporting at all. Of the roughly 141,000 eligible voters still out, 95% live in localities that aren't Arab.
Question 3
Turnout in the boxes counted so far, against turnout in the same localities in 2022. Groups are defined by the 2022 vote; the rule for each is listed below the chart.
The biggest change is in arab localities: 53.8% turnout in 2022, 80.4% in the boxes counted so far. Arab localities: 53.8% then, 80.4% now. Haredi localities turned out at 76.7%, about where they were (75.8%). Secular-leaning localities rose from 65.1% to 71.0%, and coalition-leaning ones from 64.4% to 69.6%.
Two cautions. The boxes in so far are not a random sample, so a group's turnout can move as the rest arrives. And the 2022 figures exclude double envelopes, as the 2026 figures do for now, so the comparison is like for like.
Question 2, on the map
Click a locality to zoom in; drag to move, pinch or ctrl and scroll to zoom. Cities split into neighborhoods open them, and a neighborhood click shows its own result. Switch the coloring to see who leads, how much is counted, or turnout.
Loading the map…
Outlines and neighborhood totals: govmap, the Survey of Israel's map, which assigns each ballot box to a neighborhood. Locality results: the CEC ballot box file. The 2022 column compares with the outgoing coalition, the opposition and the Arab lists of 2022.
Share of the 5,690,686 valid votes counted so far. The line marks the 3.25% threshold: 184,948 votes at this count.
The other 25 lists took 57,064 votes together. In all, 307,733 votes (5.4%) went to lists below the threshold and don't count toward any seat; 250,669 of them went to The Reservists and the Economic Party and Amcha Yisrael. Surplus agreements: Likud with Religious Zionism, Yashar with Democrats, B'Yachad with Yisrael Beiteinu, Shas with UTJ, Joint List with Ra'am.
The close read
Israelis vote for one list. But this campaign was run, polled and reported as a contest between two blocs, and both leaders asked for votes on those terms. The counted boxes let us check, locality by locality, which of the two held steady: the parties or the blocs.
The comparison uses the 958 localities that have at least 300 valid votes counted in 2026 and also voted in 2022. A partly counted city compares its counted boxes with its whole 2022 result, so treat a small change in one place with care; across hundreds of localities the pattern is clear. These are totals by place, not individual voters, so they show where votes landed, not who switched.
Almost nothing on the 2022 opposition's ballot survived in the same form. Yesh Atid ran inside B'Yachad with Bennett, Gadi Eisenkot, elected in 2022 on Benny Gantz's National Unity list, led a new party, Yashar, and Labor and Meretz became the Democrats. Party by party, the ground moved: Yashar's share in each locality differs from the 2022 share of Yesh Atid and National Unity combined by 9.7 points on average, and B'Yachad's from Yesh Atid's by 8.2 points. Only the Democrats kept their predecessors' map, within 0.8 points of Labor and Meretz.
The bloc barely moved. Add its parties up, and its share in each locality is within 1.9 points of the 2022 opposition's on average, with a correlation of 0.996 across localities. Where the opposition was strong in 2022, Eisenkot's bloc is strong now, by almost exactly as much.
Netanyahu's bloc ran the same parties as in 2022; Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit, one list then, ran separately this time. Its share of the vote in these localities fell from 48.3% to 41.8%. Measured against everyone eligible to vote instead of everyone who did, it barely moved: 30.6% of eligible voters in 2022, 29.9% now.
What changed was everyone else. Turnout in these localities rose from 63.8% to 71.8%. Eisenkot's bloc went from 23.9% to 26.8% of eligible voters, and the Arab parties from 7.2% to 11.1%. The right's vote held; it was outgrown.
The same check for every list that has a 2022 counterpart. A bloc or a party whose share sits close to where it was in each locality has a low average gap; Likud's own share moved 2.2 points on average, against 4.7 points for its bloc, because the bloc's vote held while the electorate around it grew.
| 2022 | Now | Average gap | Correlation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outgoing coalition | Netanyahu's bloc | 4.7 points | 0.995 |
| Opposition | Eisenkot's bloc | 1.9 points | 0.996 |
| Arab lists | Arab parties | 0.9 points | 0.998 |
| Likud | Likud | 2.2 points | 0.984 |
| Religious Zionism | Religious Zionism-Zehut and Otzma Yehudit | 0.8 points | 0.985 |
| Shas | Shas | 2.8 points | 0.983 |
| United Torah Judaism | United Torah Judaism | 0.5 points | 0.998 |
| Yesh Atid and National Unity | Yashar | 9.7 points | 0.976 |
| Yesh Atid | B'Yachad | 8.2 points | 0.958 |
| Labor and Meretz | the Democrats | 0.8 points | 0.950 |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | Yisrael Beiteinu | 1.8 points | 0.927 |
Two lists declined to join either bloc. Yoaz Hendel's Reservists promised "a blocking bloc against non-Zionist governments and coalitions with haredi or Arab parties" and said they could recommend either candidate (Jerusalem Post). Ofer Winter's Amcha Yisrael said it would recommend Netanyahu without ruling out an Eisenkot coalition (Jewish Insider).
On policy, both sat across the bloc line. They put the security group with Likud and Otzma Yehudit, and the Haredi draft with Yashar and B'Yachad; the Reservists joined Eisenkot's bloc on a state commission for October 7. Together they have 250,669 votes, 4.4%, and neither has passed the threshold, so for now none of those votes becomes a seat.
Did they take votes from one side? In 832 Jewish, non-Haredi localities, the places where they did best are not the places where Netanyahu's bloc fell furthest (correlation -0.14). The data doesn't show them drawing on one bloc more than the other.
Close Read's five issue episodes placed the thirteen largest lists on five questions. Read by bloc, they show two different kinds of alliance. Eisenkot's four parties sit together on 3 of the five: a state commission for October 7, one service law for everyone, and independent courts. Netanyahu's five share a position on none of the five; on 4 of them, at least one member published nothing, and on the Haredi draft, the bloc holds both "targets, no universal law" and "protect Torah study."
That's the sense in which voters chose a bloc. Netanyahu's voters stayed with a bloc whose parties disagree on the draft. Eisenkot's voters moved to new parties that agree on more, and the bloc's map didn't change.
| List | October 7 inquiry | Haredi service | Gaza and a Palestinian state | Judiciary | Cost of living |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu's bloc | |||||
| Likud27 seats | Sides choose members | Targets, no universal law | Israeli control | Continue overhaul | Open the market |
| Otzma Yehudit7 seats | No position | Targets, no universal law | Israeli control | Continue overhaul | Nothing published |
| Religious Zionism6 seats | Sides choose members | Targets, no universal law | Israeli control | Continue overhaul | Open the market |
| Shas6 seats | No position | Protect Torah study | Nothing published | Continue overhaul | Nothing published |
| UTJ7 seats | No position | Protect Torah study | Nothing published | No detailed position | Nothing published |
| Eisenkot's bloc | |||||
| Yashar21 seats | State commission | One law for all | No state, others run Gaza | Independent courts | Open the market |
| B'Yachad12 seats | State commission | One law for all | No state, others run Gaza | Independent courts | Open the market |
| Democrats8 seats | State commission | One law for all | Room for a state | Independent courts | Bigger state role |
| Yisrael Beiteinu7 seats | State commission | One law for all | No state, others run Gaza | Independent courts | Open the market |
| Arab parties | |||||
| Joint List11 seats | State commission | Against compulsory service | Room for a state | Independent courts | Bigger state role |
| Ra'am8 seats | No position | Against compulsory service | Room for a state | No detailed position | Nothing published |
| Outside both blocs | |||||
| Reservistsno seats | State commission | One law for all | Israeli control | Shift by agreement | Open the market |
| Amcha Yisraelno seats | Sides choose members | One law for all | Israeli control | Shift by agreement | Open the market |
Seat the positions instead of the parties, and the majorities don't line up with either bloc. Only open the market on cost of living (73 seats) reaches 61, across the bloc line. state commission on october 7 inquiry and independent courts on judiciary each have 59, from Eisenkot's bloc and the Joint List, a list neither bloc leader has said they would bring into government.
Coalition building
Seats at the current count for each combination that leaders and reporters have raised, with what the leaders themselves have said about it. After the final results, President Herzog consults every list and gives one member 28 days to form a government, extendable by 14. Close Read doesn't predict which happens.
Likud 27Otzma Yehudit 7Religious Zionism 6Shas 6UTJ 7
The five parties of the outgoing coalition. Amcha Yisrael, whose leader said he would back Netanyahu, is below the threshold.
Same position on: none of the five issues.
Likud 27Otzma Yehudit 7Religious Zionism 6Shas 6UTJ 7Yisrael Beiteinu 7
Netanyahu's bloc with Avigdor Liberman's party, which ran in Eisenkot's bloc.
Same position on: none of the five issues.
Yashar 21B'Yachad 12Democrats 8Yisrael Beiteinu 7
The four parties that ran as the alternative to Netanyahu.
Same position on: October 7 inquiry, Haredi service, Judiciary.
Shas 6UTJ 7Yashar 21B'Yachad 12Democrats 8Yisrael Beiteinu 7
Across the widest gap on the Haredi draft: one service law for everyone against protecting the status of Torah students.
Same position on: none of the five issues.
Yashar 21B'Yachad 12Democrats 8Yisrael Beiteinu 7Joint List 11, outsideRa'am 8, outside
A minority government, kept in office by the Arab parties voting with it or abstaining. Golan's "65 is more than 55" on election night was this arithmetic.
Same position on: October 7 inquiry, Haredi service, Judiciary.
Likud 27Yashar 21B'Yachad 12Yisrael Beiteinu 7
A unity government across the bloc line, without the Haredi parties, the far right or the Democrats.
Same position on: Cost of living.
Keep it honest
Interim results change by the hour, and every number here can be checked against public files.
Spot-check a figure: the CEC's national page lists each list's valid votes and share. Likud here: 1,167,458 votes, 20.52%.
Data as of the official file's update on Sunday, November 1 at 4:32 PM GMT+2. Sources: Central Elections Committee, govmap elections map. The figures will change until the final results.
